Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.023094 0.024925 0.026834 0.028973 0.031306 0.033775 0.036588
2025-11-23 0.020058 0.022680 0.025560 0.028962 0.032883 0.037268 0.042560
2025-11-30 0.017929 0.020980 0.024461 0.028740 0.033880 0.039878 0.047444
2025-12-07 0.016384 0.019708 0.023619 0.028585 0.034756 0.042214 0.051977
2025-12-14 0.015117 0.018613 0.022836 0.028348 0.035400 0.044187 0.056068
2025-12-21 0.014200 0.017851 0.022366 0.028405 0.036339 0.046502 0.060655
2025-12-28 0.013321 0.017058 0.021776 0.028229 0.036911 0.048313 0.064626
2026-01-04 0.012609 0.016422 0.021331 0.028182 0.037609 0.050281 0.068876
2026-01-11 0.012039 0.015931 0.021032 0.028290 0.038488 0.052504 0.073578
2026-01-18 0.011504 0.015448 0.020706 0.028324 0.039239 0.054558 0.078126
2026-01-25 0.011076 0.015084 0.020513 0.028515 0.040200 0.056937 0.083265
2026-02-01 0.010499 0.014479 0.019948 0.028135 0.040298 0.058040 0.086524
2026-02-08 0.009900 0.013831 0.019315 0.027660 0.040280 0.059048 0.089833
2026-02-15 0.009462 0.013396 0.018966 0.027584 0.040858 0.060994 0.094763
2026-02-22 0.009018 0.012927 0.018541 0.027363 0.041189 0.062561 0.099172
2026-03-01 0.008630 0.012519 0.018181 0.027215 0.041611 0.064277 0.103917
2026-03-08 0.008252 0.012105 0.017790 0.026990 0.041888 0.065760 0.108347
2026-03-15 0.007972 0.011826 0.017587 0.027044 0.042607 0.067989 0.114192
2026-03-22 0.007657 0.011479 0.017260 0.026877 0.042946 0.069591 0.119026
2026-03-29 0.007393 0.011196 0.017018 0.026833 0.043478 0.071539 0.124598
2026-04-05 0.007178 0.010981 0.016873 0.026935 0.044256 0.073942 0.131155
2026-04-12 0.006961 0.010752 0.016693 0.026967 0.044908 0.076152 0.137493
2026-04-19 0.006787 0.010586 0.016606 0.027148 0.045824 0.078876 0.144991